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Spread Scan Issue: March 7, 2007 - Volume 134


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Each week we present spread trading examples and opportunities in order to help you become a more professional spread trader.

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Spread Scan Example:

This week we look at LCZ7 - LCM7.

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Today we consider an intra-market meats spread: long December 07 Live Cattle and short June 07 Live Cattle (LCZ7-LCM7). This spread has been in a trading range since February, making new highs and new lows, but no real break out. The seasonal time window is very short (app. 3/6 – 3/23) and doesn’t give much time for an entry.

Traders may want to enter the spread at a value of 1.0. Margin for the spread is $540 (reduced margin). Suggested risk is $400. Initial projected objective is $400, then a move to 4.0 or higher. LCZ7 has very low volume!

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Previous Trades:

On February 26 we told subscribers of our professional daily spreads & position trading newsletter, Traders Notebook, "Consider entering an inter-market meats spread 500*FCK7 – 400*LCM7 at a spread value of $14,600. Margin for the spread is $2,633 (no reduced margin). Suggested risk is $1,200. Initial projected objective is $1,200, then a move to $20,000 or higher. Basis is seasonal (app. 3/10 – 5/30)."

Here's how we suggested managing this trade:

02/27 Suggest entering MOC tomorrow.
02/28 In?

Open equity: $700 per contract.

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Questions or Comments? Please email us: support@spread-trading.com

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Andy Jordan's Trading Bites

Student's Question: "Andy, can I really make it as a trader by using systems (trading methods)?"

Andy: Be clear that we are not talking about automated "black box" systems here. Such systems are out of your control and will eventually fail as market conditions change. You need to understand and be in complete control of any method you use.

Most traders move from trading method to trading method (or system) over time, until they find one that suits them - one that is comfortable to run, and tests well in the long run, (back-tested, then real time). But don’t expect a trading method to work forever. Markets change too much for that to be practical.

On the other hand, some traders never stop looking for the perfect method, quickly abandoning one method after another in their search, before they have really mastered all aspects of the one they have.. That, too, is a problem.

There are many methods that can generate nice profits over time. To settle on a trading method that’s right for you:

First, you have to believe in the process by which the method generates trades. Does it make SENSE to you?

Second, whatever method you decide to go with, back-test it. THINK about the method you are choosing and why it’s right for you. THINK about the results you get from your back-testing and your real-time testing of your method. BE A MACHINE (DON’T THINK) when you are trading your method.

Third, work on your self-discipline. Unless you can control yourself, you can never control your trading. In order to control yourself and your emotions, you have to believe totally in your trading method, and above all, in yourself.

 

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View last week's Spread Scan # 133 - February 28, 2007

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Disclaimer:

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission has asked us to advise you that trading spreads is complex and carries a high degree of risk. While there is opportunity for incredible wealth building, there is also the risk of losing even more than you invested. Of course, that's not unlike most other businesses. But informed traders are the best traders!