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Spread Scan Issue: January 7, 2009 - Volume 228
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Otherwise, welcome to this week’s issue of the Joe Ross Spread Trading Newsletter.
The Spread Scan weekly newsletter is designed to assist you in becoming a better, more complete trader by showing you, within the context of the markets, how to trade spreads.
In this newsletter you will see applications of spreading in the futures and commodity markets. Spreads are applicable to all futures markets including currencies, commodities, financial instruments, and stock indexes. It is even possible to trade spreads in the all-electronic intraday market using day trading techniques.
Spreads are based on seasonality, correlation, backwardation, chart patterns, and simple observation. Spreads follow the Law of Charts™ and can be implemented using the Traders Trick™ entry.
In each issue of Spread Scan, you will find an upcoming spread trade for your consideration in the following week. You will also find a review of an existing or closed spread so you can see and learn how spread trades are managed.
Spreads offer you the most efficient use of your margin account of any other way to trade. Many traders find they like them so much that spreading becomes their primary way of trading.
Each week we present spread trading examples and opportunities to help you become a more professional spread trader, and we provide you with helpful content of interest to traders:
Be sure you receive all your issues of Spread Scan so that you can continue to enjoy learning through the best free educational trading information available, and so that we can keep you informed about additional educational services and products to help you grow as a successful and profitable spread trader.
This week we look at WN9 - WH9 : long July '09 Wheat and short March '09 Wheat (ECBOT)
Today we consider a Wheat calendar spread (ECBOT): long July '09 Wheat and short March '09 Wheat (WN9 – WH9). The spread has been in a nice down trend since November 2008. With the close on January 5 at 24 ¼, the 1-2-3 low is complete and the spread moved above the downtrend line (blue line). Seasonality (12/17 – 01/27) should help to move the spread higher. The December low at 23 seems to be a logical place for the initial stop.
Traders may want to enter the spread today at the open. Initial margin is $608 (reduced). Suggested risk is $150. Initial projected objective is $150, then a move to 29 or higher. Basis is seasonal (12/17 – 1/27) and a 1-2-3 low: Comment: This spread is mainly for those with a small account
On December 15 we told subscribers of our professional daily spreads & position trading newsletter Traders Notebook, "Consider entering an inter-market soy complex spread 100*SMH9 – 600*BOH9 at a close above $7,200. Initial margin is $1,890 (reduced). Suggested risk is $1,500. Initial projected objective is $1,500, then a move higher. Basis is seasonal (12/1 – 12/25) and a RH (in a range). Comment: More conservative traders might want to enter right now at the open with a close stop at around $5,500."
The trade was also considered in Spread Scan # 225 from December 17, 2008.
Here's how we suggested managing this trade:
12/16 In at around $7,100.
01/05 Suggested stop at $9,550, if not already out on 12/24 or 12/26.For more information about our daily newsletter, visit our Spread Website to find out more about Traders Notebook
Questions or Comments? Please email us: support@spread-trading.com
Student's Question: "Andy, I almost destroyed my account at the end of 2008 after doing ok all year long. What do you think went wrong?"
Andy: Blowing out the account can have many reasons. The most common reasons are:
- Lack of knowledge of the markets a trader wants to trade. I am not talking about the fundamentals of the product; I am talking about the market basics like the best time to enter or exit a trade, when does a market behave “normal” and when not, what are the signs for not trading a specific market, and so on.
- Lack of knowledge of proper money management. I don’t think it is difficult to learn the correct money management and it is not necessary to become a mathematician. But it is necessary to learn all you have to know as a trader about money and risk management.
- Lack of having a trading plan (or having the correct trading plan that fits to the trader). A trader has to use a very detailed trading plan that fits his/her personality and environment (account size, full or part time trader …).
- Lack of discipline following the trading plan. This is very tough for most traders, but possible to achieve. It becomes impossible to achieve as long as you try to follow the wrong trading plan, a trading plan that doesn’t fit your personality and environment. This is why “just doing what others are doing” will fail most of the time when it comes to trading.
- Lack of having the right mindset. As long as a trader cannot see himself being successful in trading, he doesn’t have much of a chance to reach his goal.
All the reasons why a trader can fail interact with each other, and most of the time it is a combination of several of them that lead to a trader's blowing up his account. Try to investigate in detail what went wrong.
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Wednesday, January 21, 2009
Wednesday, January 28, 2009
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ABOUT JOE ROSS:
Joe Ross has been trading and investing since his first trade at the age of 14, and is a well known Master Trader and Investor. He has survived all the up and downs of the markets because of his adaptable trading style, using a low-risk approach that produces consistent profits. Joe Ross is the discoverer of the Ross hook(TM), and has set new standards for low-risk trading with his concepts of The Law of Charts(TM) and the Traders Trick Entry(TM). Joe was a private trader and investor for much of his life, but a serious health situation in the late 80's caused him to shift his focus, and that is when he decided to share his knowledge. After his recovery, he founded Trading Educators in 1988, to teach aspiring traders how to make profits using his approaches to trading. Joe Ross has written twelve major books and countless articles and essays about trading. All his books have become classics, and have been translated into various languages. His students from around the world number in the thousands. His file of letters containing thanks and appreciation from students on every continent (now including Antarctica) is huge. As one student, a successful trader, wrote: "Thanks again for your trust and patience...Joe is a fountain of knowledge...but it is his wisdom that really sets him apart." Joe Ross holds a Bachelor of Science degree in Business Administration from the University of California at Los Angeles. He did his Masters work in Computer Sciences at the George Washington University extension in Norfolk, Virginia. He is listed in "Who's Who in America." After 5 decades of trading and investing, Joe Ross still tutors, teaches, writes, and trades regularly. Joe is an active and integral part of Trading Educators. He is the primary author and Editor-in-Chief of the company's newsletters: Chart Scan(TM), Spread Scan(TM) , Traders Money Club™ and Traders Notebook(TM). He is also the host of the free Traders Live Chat, the free European Chat for Traders, and the moderator of his popular trading forum. |
Joe's philosophy for helping traders is:"Teach our students the truth in trading — teach them how to trade. Give them a way to earn while they learn, realizing that it takes time to develop a successful trader."
Joe sets forth the mission of Trading Educators as follows:
- To show aspiring futures traders the truth in trading by teaching them how to read a chart so that they can successfully trade what they see, and by revealing to them all of the insider knowledge they need in order to understand the markets.
- To enable them to trade profitably by training them to properly manage their trades as well as their mindset and self-control.
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ABOUT ANDY JORDAN:
Educator
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Editor of Traders Notebook & Spread Scan Andy Jordan made his first option trade at the age of 18. Since then he has been fascinated by the world of trading. In 2002 he met Joe Ross, and became interested in spread trading. Andy was then intensively tutored by Joe Ross and personnel at Trading Educators. Andy is the founder and president of Jordan Trading, S. A. Even though Andy has shown through live chats and in several trading journals that he is able to day trade today's markets, spread trading has always been his favorite. In addition to his own spread trading activities, Andy is the editor of Traders Notebook. For those interested in one-on-one personal coaching, Andy has developed and instructs a one-week online course in spread trading, "Trade with a Pro," during which he demonstrates all aspects of trading from choosing the trades on through how and when to enter the trades, manage the trades, and exit the trades. Andy has developed a number of trading methods, among which are Andy's E-mini 40 and a T-Bond trading method. Andy Jordan was born 1965 in Germany, but is currently living in the Caribbean. He has studied mathematics and business administration in Regensburg and Hagen, and holds a PhD in mathematics.
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Disclaimer:
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission has asked us to advise you that trading spreads or outright futures is complex and carries a high degree of risk. While there is opportunity for incredible wealth building, there is also the risk of losing even more than you invested. Of course, that's not unlike most other businesses. But informed traders are the best traders!